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Демографическая пропасть: снижение рождаемости ведет к катастрофе мирового масштаба

Мир погружается в беспрецедентный демографический кризис. Уровень рождаемости во многих странах стремительно падает, ставя под угрозу само существование человечества в том виде, в каком мы его знаем. Трудно представить, но за несколько поколений численность населения может снизиться на 50%, а в отдельных странах — до 80%. Эти цифры шокирующие, но реальные, и они указывают на приближение катастрофических изменений. Что будет с экономиками, инфраструктурой, технологиями и культурой, когда нас станет гораздо меньше? Это вопрос, который мы должны начать решать уже сейчас, пока еще не стало слишком поздно.

Экспрезидент компании Киевстар, основатель образовательного проекта Контора Пи Петр Чернышев высказался по этому поводу:

«Сегодня я расскажу вам пугающую историю о том, как население многих стран катастрофически уменьшается. Сначала о так называемом уровне воспроизводства — количестве детей на одну женщину, необходимое для сохранения численности населения без изменений — это 2,1 (т.е. чуть больше двух детей на семью) ).Только тогда количество людей в стране не меняется.

Но во многих странах мира мы значительно ниже этого показателя. Теперь немного (непростых) арифметических вычислений: уровень рождаемости ниже 1,6 означает на 50% меньше людей через три поколения. Это меньше 100 лет, но для упрощения говорим «за 100 лет». Если уровень рождаемости упадет ниже 1,2? Мы смотрим на 80% снижение населения за 100 лет.

Дайте себе время, чтобы это понять.

Текущие показатели рождаемости:

США: 1,64.

Китай, Япония, Польша, Испания – все ниже 1,2.

Южная Корея: всего 0,68. Это потенциальное понижение населения на 96%. И это наиболее известная катастрофическая история о рождаемости. Уже сегодня у 1 из каждых 3 женщин в Южной Корее нет детей.

ПОСМОТРИТЕ ЕЩЕ:  They work where war leaves only ruins and the dead. They enter the "gray zone", where battles were raging just yesterday, and are looking for those who will no longer be able to return. Their work is not only a risk, but also a debt to the dead. After all, while some are fighting, others are bringing home those who gave their lives for Ukraine. They find the bodies of Ukrainian soldiers so that their relatives can say goodbye, and they also look for dead Russians to exchange them for the bodies of our soldiers. One of such organizations is Platzdarm. Its volunteers work in minefields, under shelling, in the most dangerous places, so as not to leave anyone behind. Their mission is to bring the fallen home. Journalists of the "FAKT" information agency visited Sloviansk and witnessed the difficult, dangerous, but extremely important work of the volunteers of the "Platzdarm" organization. We spoke with its manager Oleksiy Yukov, a resident of Sloviansk, who has been searching for fallen soldiers for almost 25 years. Oleksiy, when and why did you decide to search for the dead? What did you do before the war? Before the war, I was a Thai boxing coach. He started doing this activity at the age of 13. It was at this age that he saw for the first time the battlefield of the Second World War, where the bones of the dead - both Soviet and German soldiers - lay on the surface of the earth. All this was looted by people. And then I thought for the first time: where is the humanity? Why in the 20th century you can come across human remains, fragments of weapons in the middle of the forest, and everyone pretends that this is normal? This was the beginning of my life's work. I realized that a person remains a person as long as he remembers those who have gone to eternity. Every year, I delved more and more into this topic, began to research archives, talk to old residents, and look for places of mass burials. And when this war began, I already knew for sure that I would not be able to stand aside. Tell us about the activities of Platzdarmu. Where do you work and what difficulties do you face? Until 2014, the "Platzdarm" volunteer organization was engaged in the search for the dead of the Second World War, but after the start of the war in Ukraine, our mission changed. We began to search for and return the bodies of soldiers who died in the war with Russia. These are both the Ukrainian military, whom we bring home, and the Russian soldiers, who are exchanged for the bodies of our dead. Since 2014, we collected the bodies of the dead in Slovyansk, and then worked along the entire front line - Ilovaisk, Debaltseve, Avdiyivka and other hot spots. Now our work has become more difficult due to offensive actions. We work both in the territories controlled by Ukraine and in the temporarily occupied territories. The biggest risks are drones and shelling. We can't work in groups to avoid attracting attention, so we go in two by two. It is often necessary to cover a distance of several kilometers on foot. We find bodies in forests, reservoirs, plantations, carry them out on our own, because it is impossible to use equipment. We make evacuation points for ourselves, and then, using means of radio-electronic warfare, we quickly take the bodies out by car. We work mainly when the weather is bad - rain, strong wind, or at dusk. The enemy is constantly counting us out with drones and artillery. Sometimes you have to sift through the ground to collect even the smallest fragments of bodies. It is often necessary to rake rubble, disassemble pieces of equipment, lift bodies from under the rubble of concrete structures that collapsed after shelling. We have a lot of work, probably life will not be enough for it. But we are working as hard as we can. What are the biggest difficulties in identifying the dead? The hardest thing is when the body is completely burned. In such cases, identification is almost impossible. We identify a person by clothes, personal belongings, we study the condition of bones, even the remains of nails and teeth. Alas, time is working against us - the bodies are stretched by animals, natural conditions destroy the remains. The sex, age, and nature of injuries can be determined from the bones. We also find signs of chronic diseases, which helps to establish an identity. What is the most common cause of death in the military? Most often, these are mine and explosive injuries. Almost nothing remains from explosions, artillery fire, and drone strikes. Where there were direct shell hits, it is extremely difficult to find anything. Often these are only individual fragments of the body that are scattered over dozens of meters. What motivates you and the volunteers to do such dangerous work? One of the main motivations is the return home of the dead, our boys who defended our Motherland, who gave their lives at the front. And each of them should know that if disaster happens, they will not be left on the field. They will fight for his soul, his body, search for him and bring him home. It is my honor to bring back the souls that were lost in war. And it doesn't matter what this war is called, "special military operation", ATO, World War I or World War II. It is always a war, because people, whole nations, are killed and maimed there. I had to see mountains of bodies piled up like broken toys. It's scary! Corpses just lie in landings, and they have no chance to return home, even dead. And if it weren't for our work, they would stay there forever. But they have the right to the last way home. This is not just work, but our duty to the dead and to their families, who are waiting for them every day. It is clear that this is precisely why you are risking your life. But how do you explain the risk you take to collect the remains of Russian soldiers? We differ from our enemies in our humanity, we always remain human, regardless of the situation. A Russian soldier is also a person. Even if he committed crimes during his life, we do not fight with the dead. This is not Ukrainian. We take away all the dead - both ours and theirs. Even when we are killed, we remain human. And if we lose it, then how will we be better than them? What emotions do you feel when you find the dead or their remains? These are always very strong experiences. You realize that some of these people gave their lives for our country, fought for our future, and others came to destroy us and our children. The greatest pain is for our fallen boys, for those who should live, rejoice, build their future. But at the same time, there is no hatred for the bodies of enemies. They are already dead. Death puts an end to everything, and we treat them with a certain respect. Death does not forgive bad treatment of the dead. I don't understand those who say: "Let them hang around, they deserve it." This is wrong! All the dead must be buried. Because every body is someone's son, father, brother. Their mothers, wives, and children mourn them. It is important for them to have a grave where they can come, pray, and say goodbye. It's a question of humanity, regardless of whose side they were on. What do you do when you find the remains of bodies? We hand over the bodies of our soldiers to Ukrainian specialists, who then ensure their return to their relatives for burial. We transfer the remains of Russian soldiers for exchange - we have already transferred more than 750 bodies. This is difficult and painful work, in which many people are involved - not only our search team, but the Coordination Headquarters, General Headquarters, GUR, SBU, police, doctors. Everyone does their part to do this job with the utmost precision and dignity. Do you find the bodies of civilians? Nowadays, civilians are rarely found in the war zone, but earlier it was more common. The worst thing is to find children. It hurts to the core! We found civilians buried simply in yards, in cities, in destroyed houses, basements, barns... It is especially difficult when the body has burned so much that it is impossible to take biological material for identification. And it hurts even more when you know that the neighbors saw these bodies, knew they were there, but kept silent. Then, after some time, they told that they were afraid, they didn't want extra problems. This indifference is simply terrifying! How could you pass by and do nothing? But, unfortunately, war exposes not only heroism, but also people's weaknesses. https://youtu.be/J4WvnD8xuk4 Oleksiy, thank you and all the volunteers of the "Platzdarm" organization for your extremely important work, for each person found, for each family, to which you returned a part of their lost dignity! May your mission be heard and supported, may dangers bypass you, and human gratitude become your talisman! Thank you very much! We continue our work, we do it for the sake of those who are waiting at home, who want to know the truth, who have the right to say goodbye to their relatives. And while this war continues, we will not stop! I wish all of us a speedy end to the war and a happy peaceful life!

Украину ожидает снижение численности населения на 76% за следующие 100 лет.

Вот на что мы можем смотреть спустя следующие 100 лет:

США (-47%).

Франция (-46%).

Россия (-65%).

Германия (-68%).

Италия (-78%).

Япония (-81%).

Китай (-88%).

Таиланд (-89%).

Турция, Великобритания, Мексика и другие страны идут по тому же пути.

Раньше люди полагали, что низкие уровни рождаемости в Азии остановятся хотя бы на отметке 1,1 ребенка на женщину. Но нет. Южная Корея (с населением 50 млн) сейчас имеет 0,68. И другие страны следуют за ней.

Люди еще не осознали, что это значит для нашей цивилизации, промышленного общества и хода истории, потому что это слишком огромно для понимания.

И если вам интересно, как обстоят дела в Украине — не надо гуглить. По данным 2020 года, Украину ожидает снижение численности населения на 76% за следующие 100 лет.

Все указывает на то, что наша цивилизация на грани коллапса возможно до 2200 года.

И ни в коем реалистическом смысле численно невозможно исправить это с помощью иммиграции. Вы не можете «компенсировать разницу» иммиграцией, когда речь идет о потере более 50% одного поколения. Особенно если это Китай или ЕС, где дефицит измеряется сотнями миллионов. Хотя теоретически в маленькой стране иммиграция может помочь, если люди готовы к радикальному открытию.

И здесь возникает вопрос: для кого мы перестраиваем энергетическую сеть? Для кого мы создаем искусственный интеллект? Для кого мы придумываем новые вакцины, суперэффективные лекарства, гениальные гаджеты и так далее?

Это цифры массового вымирания.

Когда общества стареют, а население уменьшается, как мы готовимся к будущему с меньшим количеством людей? Что произойдет с экономиками, культурами и общинами, когда нас станет гораздо меньше?

ПОСМОТРИТЕ ЕЩЕ:  Между качеством и безопасностью: дискуссии о формах обучения продолжаются

Мы должны начать задавать трудные вопросы уже сейчас. Многие ведущие мыслители уже это делают — мне нравится, что Илон Маск открыто говорит, что проблема рождаемости — это проблема №1 для цивилизации».

 

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