More than $60 billion in U.S. aid will give the Ukrainian military the time it needs to rest and reorganize, but it likely won’t be enough to turn the tide of the war.
He writes about it Bloomberg.
The speed with which US aid reaches the front lines will be crucial. Congressional delay of the aid package for six months led to an acute shortage of ammunition and manpower in the Ukrainian army, which the Russian occupiers took advantage of.
Although US aid will give Ukraine the opportunity to slow Russia’s advance, mount an “effective defense” and minimize casualties, it will need additional support for its own counteroffensive. Obtaining such support from the US may be difficult due to resistance from Republicans in Congress.
“The question is whether and to what extent there will be aid in 2025 and beyond, because Putin’s strategy is to wait“, – noted Mykola Beleskov, a researcher at the Kyiv National Institute of Strategic Studies.
The newspaper writes that a delay in the delivery of aid may lead to a worsening of the situation on the front and give Russia the opportunity to take advantage of the shortage of ammunition quickly, logistics may lead to the fact that it will not affect the situation on the front in Ukraine. Ukraine needs additional help from the US and other countries to gain an advantage over Russia and force it to back down.
The President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, said that the US assistance will give his army the opportunity to restore the initiative and stabilize the situation. Germany will continue to press European allies to provide Ukraine with air defense systems and other necessary resources.
Analysts of the American Institute for the Study of War warn that the situation at the front may worsen.
“The situation on the front lines is likely to deteriorate during this time, especially if Russian forces increase their attacks to take advantage of the limited window before new US aid arrives“, analysts write.
