Ukrainian refugees

Ukrainian refugees in Europe demonstrate unique integration outcomes: what this means for future returns

Unlike previous waves of refugees who spent decades searching for their place in European societies, the Ukrainians, forced to leave their homes by the full-scale invasion of Russia, have become an exception. Their integration into EU labor markets has been impressively fast — an order of magnitude more efficient than in previous crisis migration scenarios. He writes about this unique socio-economic phenomenon Financial Times, based on data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), as well as the results of surveys in Ukraine and European countries.

The phenomenon of high employment: what the statistics show

Jean-Christophe Dumont from the OECD notes: the level of employment among Ukrainians in some countries of Eastern and Central Europe is more than twice as high as that of other refugee groups. This is especially evident on the example of Poland and the Czech Republic — states that have a common historical past with Ukraine, linguistic proximity and already formed Ukrainian diasporas. These factors created the prerequisites for the rapid entry of Ukrainians into the workforce.

However, it was not only cultural similarities that played a role. At the time when Ukrainians were arriving en masse in the EU, the economies of many countries were experiencing an acute labor shortage. The European labor market was tight, and the demand for hired workers was high. This was one of the determining factors of quick employment.

The political gesture of the European Union also turned out to be unprecedented — for the first time, a pan-European regime of temporary protection was introduced. Ukrainians were given the opportunity to legally stay on the territory of the EU, obtain a work permit without complicated procedures, as well as access to housing, healthcare and education. This tool not only made the everyday life of the displaced people easier, but also created conditions for economic independence from the first weeks of their stay.

See also  The worsening situation in Ukraine is again forcing Polish authorities to prepare for a possible new wave of refugees, especially in regions close to the Ukrainian border, such as the Lubelskie Voivodeship. Worries are growing due to the unstable situation on the front, as well as the threat of being left without heat and electricity in winter, which could force Ukrainians to seek safe haven in Poland. According to inPoland, Polish authorities see the situation unfolding in Ukraine as a precondition for another influx of asylum seekers. inPoland reports that Polish authorities have already started preparations to be ready to provide the necessary assistance to the new arrivals. Preparing Lubelskie Voivodeship for the new wave of refugees The Lubelskie Voivodeship, located close to the Ukrainian border, has already prepared for a possible increase in the number of people in need of assistance. Krzysztof Komorski, voivode of the Lubelskie Voivodeship, declared the region's readiness to promptly deploy refugee reception centres in case of need, demonstrating the high level of preparation of local administrations and non-governmental organisations that have experience in supporting Ukrainians since the beginning of the war. In case the situation in Ukraine deteriorates, refugee reception centres can be opened in just one or two days. This means that the authorities are acting proactively to ensure that assistance and support is prompt. In addition to the local authorities, numerous non-governmental organisations in the Lublin region, which have been actively helping Ukrainians since the beginning of the war, are also on high alert. Using their experience, they are ready to adapt quickly to the growing needs, providing not only housing, but also basic living supplies, medical care and other services. This experience and high organisational capacity are valuable assets that will help to respond quickly to the new wave of migrants. Socio-economic situation in Poland: regional differences As Poland prepares for possible humanitarian challenges, socio-economic conditions in the country remain heterogeneous. There are significant differences in income levels and living standards in different regions. For example, in the municipality of Jezmanowa in the Lower Silesia Voivodship, the average wage level exceeds the incomes of residents of even major Polish cities such as Warsaw and Krakow. Half of the population of this small community with a population of about 5 thousand people receives more than 9.5 thousand zlotys gross, which after taxation is about 6.7 thousand zlotys ‘per hand’ - equivalent to almost 69 thousand hryvnia. Such high wages set Jezmanowa apart from other regions of Poland where incomes are not so significant. Given the economic differences in different regions of Poland, the issue of employment and adaptation of Ukrainian refugees may have certain difficulties. Although the Lubelskie Voivodeship is ready to receive refugees, the level of income and availability of work may be decisive for those who plan to stay here for a long time. Successful integration also depends on the ability of local organisations and authorities to provide not only basic assistance, but also support in the process of social adaptation and employment. Poland, in particular the Lubelskie Voivodeship, is preparing for a potential new wave of Ukrainian refugees by demonstrating a high readiness to provide safe shelter and necessary support. Local authorities and non-governmental organisations with considerable experience in working with Ukrainians are quickly adapting to new challenges and guaranteeing prompt assistance. However, the heterogeneity of the socio-economic situation in different regions of Poland creates additional difficulties for integration, which may require flexible solutions in the future to support refugees.

Despite the impressive pace of employment, there is another side of reality. The majority of Ukrainians work in low-skilled positions — in the areas of accommodation, public catering, and production. This mostly does not correspond to their level of education. According to research, more than 40% of Ukrainian refugees have a master’s degree or higher education, but are often forced to accept jobs that do not match their skills.

The main reasons for this are the language barrier, difficulties with the confirmation of diplomas, as well as the need for immediate earnings. For many Ukrainians, integration in the labor market began with a job that ensured financial stability, not with the development of a professional career.

The dynamics of changes in the financial situation of Ukrainian refugees is confirmed by the survey of the Center for Economic Strategy. In 2022, 28% of respondents had to borrow or save money even for basic needs. However, this figure has now dropped to 7%. This shows that a significant part of the refugees was able to adapt, find a stable job and get out of the financial risk zone.

The reverse path is less and less likely: the demographic and economic challenge

The most disturbing aspect of this successful integration is the prospect of return. If in November 2022, about 50% of Ukrainians who left declared their intention to return home after the end of hostilities, now only 20% remain. The better a person adapts to a new environment, the more difficult it is for him to change the already formed way of life and dare to return to the zone of instability.

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As the director of the Institute of Demography and Social Research points out, there is no universal answer to the question of how to stimulate mass return. As long as danger remains in Ukraine — and not only physical, but also economic — the majority will prefer to stay.

The mass outflow of educated Ukrainians and children abroad threatens long-term consequences for the country. It is not only about “brain drain”, but also about the loss of part of the future demographic resource. If tens of thousands of specialists, doctors, engineers and teachers do not return, it will significantly weaken Ukraine’s ability to rebuild.

However, experts also point to another vector: a developed Ukrainian diaspora can become a powerful resource for Ukraine — through investments, technological transfer, and political support. Successful Ukrainians abroad are able to contribute to the international integration of the country, help in the humanitarian sphere, create business and attract funds for reconstruction.

The history of Ukrainian refugees in Europe has become an exception in the global context of migrations. A high level of education, a favorable economic situation, European protection mechanisms and Ukrainians’ own motivation — all this formed a new model of integration that can serve as an example for other countries and regions. But this same story contains complex challenges for the future of Ukraine: how not to lose its intellectual and human capital, while at the same time using the potential of the diaspora for national development.

 

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